Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

This Chinese Businesswoman Was a Model of Success. Then She Angered the Party.

Monday, February 8, 2021

Categories: ASCF News Emerging Threats National Preparedness

Comments: 0

Like many entrepreneurs in China, Geng Xiaonan found a space in which to make a small fortune — in her case, publishing books on cooking, health and lifestyle.

But unlike many Chinese entrepreneurs, she mixed with critics of the party, organizing dinners and salons that brought together liberal intellectuals, retired officialsand longtime dissenters.

Now, Ms. Geng is set to stand trial in Beijing on Tuesday and may spend years in prison for her support for those at odds with China’s deepening authoritarianism, her supporters say. She and her husband, Qin Zhen, have been charged with illegal business activities related to their publishing company. Friends and observers maintain that her real offense in the eyes of the government was straying from business into sympathizing with critics of Communist Party power.

Ms. Geng, 46, came under growing surveillance last year after she leapt to the defense of Xu Zhangrun, a law professor in Beijing who was suspended after publishing essays scathingly critical of the party and its top leader, Xi Jinping.

“This is simply political persecution,” said Cai Xia, a former professor at the Central Party School in Beijing, who said she had been friends with Ms. Geng for about eight years. Ms. Cai has moved to the United States, where she has denounced the Chinese Communist Party’s deepening authoritarianism.

“It’s a selective system of enforcement,” Ms. Cai added. “They can make up whatever they want when they want to slap a crime on you.”

Ms. Geng is the latest among a handful of Chinese entrepreneurs detained or imprisoned since last year as the party draws a harder line on businesspeople it deems challengers of Beijing’s rule.

In September, the authorities sentenced Ren Zhiqiang, a retired real estate magnate who criticized Mr. Xi’s handling of the pandemic, to 18 years in prison on charges of graft and abuse of power. In November, the police in Hebei Province, near Beijing, detained Sun Dawu, a farm goods entrepreneur who has called for economic and political liberalization and has long jousted with local officials.

Late last year, the authorities sentenced Li Huaiqing, a businessman who had shared social media messages critical of the party, to 20 years in prison for fraud, extortion and “inciting subversion of state power.”

“Nowadays, ideological things have been shattered; nobody believes in them,” Guo Yuhua, a professor at Tsinghua University who has been friends with Ms. Geng for years, said by telephone. “But now that effectively ideological rule has failed, they can also use economic punishment and crimes to convict you.”

Most Chinese businesspeople accept the party’s rule — despite complaints about taxes, fees and meddling officials — and many are party members. Only a few risk official ire by assisting or mixing with critics of the government.

But larger numbers of entrepreneurs are anxious about their wealth and security under a system that gives party officials so much power. The party, in turn, worries about the long-term loyalty of the country’s entrepreneurs, said Wu Qiang, an independent political analyst in Beijing. Those official anxieties, he added, appeared to intensify after pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong in 2019, when some business owners in the former British colony supported the demonstrations.

“China’s future economic development depends on entrepreneurs,” Mr. Wu said. “But as long as you’re in business, the party can always use an economic crime to take you down.”

Ms. Geng and Mr. Qin prospered in publishing despite the party’s tight controls over books by identifying topics that would sell well without transgressing official limits.

Their successful titles included “Fall in Love With Home Meals” and “The Four-Week Yoga Weight Loss Plan,” and Ms. Geng often appeared at business forums as a host and poised, urbane example of success.

But while other entrepreneurs shrank from politics, Ms. Geng sought to give critical voices a platform. She hosted parties for former officials who had been imprisoned or fell out of favor with the party over recent decades. She organized a series of online interviews with liberal academics, which her friends said was cut short after the authorities warned her. Friends said that her husband, Mr. Qin, was uninvolved in such activities, although he has been caught up in the accusations of economic crime.

The space for political discourse has shrunk in recent years, as Mr. Xi has tightened the fetters on society. The leader has repeatedly stressed the steering role of the state sector, and the party has also warned private entrepreneurs that they must remain loyal.

The Chinese Communist Party introduced new rules in September meant to cement closer ties with, and oversight of, capitalist firms. “Unify members of the private sector around the party, and do better in promoting the healthy development of the private economy,” Mr. Xi said in instructions to officials published at the time.

Still, Ms. Geng may have stayed legally unscathed except for her vigorous support for Professor Xu, the outspoken law instructor. He was suspended from teaching and research by Tsinghua University in 2019, after issuing a series of essays that condemned China’s draconian turn under Mr. Xi.

In July of last year, the police in Beijing detained him for a few days and said that he was suspected of soliciting a prostitute — an accusation that Professor Xu has called a groundless attempt to slander his reputation. Around the same time, Tsinghua fired him.

Ms. Geng sprang to Professor Xu’s defense, relaying information about his disappearance. Soon after, Ms. Geng noticed that she was being followed. She hired a lawyer to represent her in case she was detained.

“The butcher’s knife of the authorities can fall at any time,” Ms. Geng said in an interview in July with Radio Free Asia in explaining her support for Professor Xu. “They’re all saying that I’m also in great danger, and all sorts of omens have left me feeling the same.”

Ms. Geng and her husband were detained in Beijing in September, and the police there later said that the couple were suspected of publishing books without proper permits. Ms. Geng’s lawyer, Shang Baojun, said last year that the charge involved thousands of cooking books that investigators said lacked proper licensing. Her friends have said that the couple were scheduled to stand trial on Tuesday.

Officials in the Haidian District prosecution office and court in Beijing refused to answer questions about the case or say whether the trial would go ahead. It was unclear if the accusations against her and her husband had changed.

Days before Ms. Geng’s trial was due to start, Mr. Shang said that he was no longer representing her and that he could not comment on why. Ms. Cai and supporters said Ms. Geng appeared to have been forced to change lawyers, possibly in the hope of winning a lighter sentence. Under Chinese law, convictions for illegal business activities carry sentences of up to five years’ imprisonment, along with stiff economic fines.

“Geng has become a model,” said Zhang Lifan, a historian and retired businessman in Beijing. He cited a Chinese saying: “It’s killing a chicken to scare the monkeys, warning others not to emulate her.”

Photo: An image of Geng Xiaonan from her Weibo page. Her friends say Ms. Geng is set to stand trial in Beijing on Tuesday and may spend years in prison.

Link: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/08/world/asia/china-geng-xiaonan-trial.html

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