Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Tariffs Are Taxes

Monday, January 27, 2025

Written by Laurence F Sanford, Senior Analyst ASCF

Categories: ASCF Articles

Comments: 0

TrumpTariffMan_picsource_flickr

Tariffs are taxes. A tariff is a tax placed by a government on goods that cross national borders. Countries do not pay tariffs; the importing purchaser pays tariff taxes to the government or the collecting government agencies.

If a Chinese company sells a widget for $100 without tariffs, the importing purchaser pays $100. If the US Government imposes a 50% tariff on the widget, the importing purchaser then pays $150. China receives $100, and the US government receives $50.

Tariff taxes distort market efficiencies by causing the price of a product to be higher than it otherwise would be in a free market. However, there is no free market pricing with international trade. The price is determined by many factors, including the amount of government subsidies, restrictions, regulations, and political agenda.

Tariffs can cause inflation since prices usually rise, but not always. President Reagan negotiated import quotas (a tariff) on Japanese cars, forcing Japanese companies to invest billions of dollars in the non-union US South to build cars. A few years later, the quotas were lifted, and prices returned to normal.

Tariffs protect domestic industries from foreign competition that may have open or hidden government aid. China’s state-owned enterprises (SOE) receive government financing and other favorable treatment that US companies do not receive. SOEs are frequently used to implement the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) centralized control policy of socioeconomic stability (police state), the building of infrastructure, and world economic and military domination.

President Trump campaigned to impose blanket tariffs of 10% to 20% on all imports, with additional tariffs of 60% to 100% on goods from China. The US trade deficit in 2023 totaled $773 billion and was led by:
China $279 billion
Mexico $152 billion
Vietnam $105 billion

Trump also threatened additional tariffs on Mexico and Canada if they did not tighten border control to prevent illegal immigration and drug flow into the US. Imposing a 10% blanket tariff would raise $2 trillion in revenue for the US government from 2025 to 2034. Tariff payments are now collected by the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP).

Often not mentioned is the benefit to society of tariffs on domestic manufacturing that has a value far beyond what market prices reflect. Yes, moving a factory to China or Mexico can lower the price of a widget, but it raises the price to society. The cost to society includes:
Societal depression from unemployment of workers.
Lower living standards
Drug and alcohol abuse
Decline in real estate and home values
Decrease in tax revenues

For purposes of national security, manufacturing does matter. A clear example is China’s ability to build ships. China’s shipbuilding capacity is 232 times greater than the United States. Chinese shipyards can build 23 million tons of vessels versus the US’s capacity of 100,000 tons. The Chinese Navy is already larger than the US Navy and is growing exponentially faster. The Chinese merchant and fishing fleets are vastly larger. Control of the seas matters both militarily and economically.

Manufacturing matters in a country’s growth and innovation. Ancillary businesses form and provide jobs. Research and engineering know-how follow manufacturing. Silicon Valley high-tech companies grow and feed off each other. California does not allow non-compete agreements. Employees are free to move from one company to another - analogous to bees fertilizing flowers by moving from one to another.

Tariff protectionism, which insulates companies from competition, can lead to stagnation. But it can also lead to economic development. In the late 1800s and early 20th century, the United States had some of the world’s highest tariffs as it developed its industrial base to become the world’s economic power.

After World War II, European and Asian countries developed their economies using tariffs and economic policies. The US saw its economic base collapse when it left its domestic manufacturing unprotected with low tariffs, participated in the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and promoted China’s entry into the World Trade Organization. China stole billions of dollars of American intellectual property, manipulated its currency, and erected trade barriers to prevent American companies from selling in China.

Summary

In 1925, President Calvin Coolidge said, “The chief business of the American people is business. They are profoundly concerned with producing, buying, selling, investing and prospering in the world.” In 2025, the American people are still profoundly concerned with the same issues.

Tariffs are taxes and can be constructive or destructive depending upon their purpose and implementation. American self-interest and reciprocity should be the basis of US foreign policy.

Action

Reciprocity - If a nation has high tariffs and regulatory restrictions against American companies, the US should reciprocate.
Unrestricted warfare - Recognize China is waging unrestricted warfare against the US and reciprocate. All organs of Chinese society are united toward the CCP’s goal of world domination.
Cyber warfare and Gray Zone activities - Increase US operations and capabilities.
Buy American-made products!

Peace Through Strength!

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