Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Retired General David H. Petraeus Discusses Wagner's Coup Attempt

Saturday, June 24, 2023

Written by David H. Petraeus, US Army General

Categories: ASCF News

Comments: 0

Key highlights of this evening's Ukraine Update by the great team at the Institute for the Study of War:
- Russian sources speculated on the deal mediated by Belarusian dictator Lukashenko to end the Wagner Group’s armed rebellion. Russian opposition outlet Meduza reported that Prigozhin initially tried to get in touch with the Russian Presidential Administration as Wagner fighters moved north towards Moscow, but that Putin refused to speak with him.
- Meduza noted that, once Prigozhin saw the lack of military support for Wagner’s actions and changed his mind on Wagner’s prospects, the Kremlin turned to negotiations.
- Prigozhin’s whereabouts cannot be verified.
- The specifics of the deal are still unclear, and it remains to be seen what the Kremlin intends to do with Wagner personnel and if Wagner fighters will cooperate.
- The implications of the Lukashenko-Prigozhin deal for the leadership of the Russian MoD remain ambiguous. Some Russian sources, suggest that the Kremlin may be considering changes to MoD leadership.
- Russia's Defense Minister Chief of the General Staff have not been heard from . Some sources suggest that the governor of Tula Oblast, former security officer to Putin, may replace Shoigu as the Defense Minister.
- Wagner forces continued to withdraw to their bases on June 25, but the Kremlin’s concept for leveraging Wagner fighters remains unclear. The Kremlin apparently intends to maintain certain elements of Wagner’s manpower rather than demobilize them, although the future of Wagner’s structure are unclear.
- Further details emerged on the composition of the Wagner units approaching Moscow on June 24, indicating Prigozhin would likely have struggled in an active conflict in Moscow without additional support.
- Prigozhin may have become amenable to negotiations as his forces drew nearer to Moscow and time was running out to garner the necessary military support for an armed conflict with the MoD.
- The ultranationalist Angry Patriots Club held an event in Moscow on June 25 and espoused longstanding criticisms against Putin and the Russian military leadership, suggesting that the Kremlin will not immediately begin cracking down on antagonistic ultranationalist groups in the aftermath of Prigozhin’s rebellion.
- Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the front on June 25. Ukraine's Defense Minister stated on Fox News that the main assault of the counteroffensive has not yet started.
- Russian forces’ ability to conduct offensive and defensive operations in Ukraine does not appear to have been substantially impacted by Wagner’s June 23-24 armed rebellion.
- Ukrain's Main Military Intelligence Directorate Head warned that Russia has finished preparations for an attack on the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, mining the ZNPP’s cooling pond and moving vehicles with explosives to four of the six ZNPP power units.

Read the original story on LinkedIn here

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