Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Putin Seizes Control of Oil Project Amid Reports of Economic Turmoil

Friday, July 1, 2022

Categories: ASCF News National Preparedness

Comments: 0

Source: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/putin-seizes-control-of-oil-project-amid-reports-of-economic-turmoil/ar-AAZ56hj?ocid=EMMX&cvid=9dd1f52a3e0f4d89bd36e45c72fa39bb

 Photo by ALEXANDER ZEMLIANICHENKO/POOL/AFP via Getty Images Russian President Vladimir Putin announced Russia is taking control of a large oil and gas project which has investments from foreign companies, included U.S.-based Shell. In this photo, Putin is seen during a press conference after his meeting with Indonesia

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday issued a decree that gives the Kremlin control of a large oil and gas project on Russia's Sakhalin Island as the country aims to offset the impact of Western sanctions taking hold of its economy.

The Kremlin's presidential press service published a statement about Putin's measure. The statement claimed the move was a response to "emergency situations endangering the life and safety of people and threatening the national interests and economic security of the Russian Federation."

The decree allows Russia to fully take over the rights and obligations of the project known as Sakhalin-2, with state-run Gazprom keeping its stake in the project, but Reuters reporting that others must "ask the Russian government for a stake in the new firm within one month." Multinational oil corporation Shell is currently invested in the venture, as are Japanese companies Mitsui and Mitsubishi, though Shell announced after Putin's Ukraine invasion in late February that it was planning to exit its 27.5 percent stake.

The news of the project seizure comes after a recent report showed Putin's economy is being crippled by the sanctions imposed on Russia following the start of the invasion. Statistics from Russia's Federal State Statistics Service indicated production has drastically dropped across various sectors and retail confidence has sunk. The data found that Russia's auto industry has been hit particularly hard, with car production down by 96.7 percent compared to 2021.

Reuters reported that the Kremlin might be able to keep any proceeds from Shell selling its stake in Sakhalin-2. The news agency also said Japan imports 10 percent of its liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Russia, most of which comes from Sakhalin-2.

Even as Russia's economy has suffered from sanctions, reports indicate Putin is still able to fund his war in Ukraine due to continued profits from oil exports.

In June, the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA)—an independent research organization located in Finland—said it had found that Russia brought in 93 billion euros over the first 100 days of the war in Ukraine, which converts to around $97 billion. This equates to Russia making approximately $1 billion a day exporting fossil fuels during that time frame.

By comparison, an estimate released in May gave an indication of what Putin was spending on war efforts. The Moscow Times reported that the estimate, which was based on Russian Ministry of Finance data, showed that 628 billion rubles of Russia's federal budget in April was spent on national defense, which equals about 21 billion rubles—or more than $330 million—a day.

The numbers from CREA will likely soon shift as EU leaders in May agreed to a new sanctions package on Russia for its war, which includes a ban on 90 percent of Russian crude oil imports by the end of the year. However, Putin's action regarding Sakhalin-2 will bring in revenue for the Kremlin to counter some of the damage from sanctions.

Even with Russia assuming control of Sakhalin-2, Japan is reportedly not currently planing on giving up its stake in the project.

"The decree does not mean that Japan's LNG imports will become immediately impossible, but it is necessary to take all possible measures in preparation for unforeseen circumstances," Japan's Industry Minister Koichi Hagiuda said, according to Reuters.

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