Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

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Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Pompeo in Israel for Meetings on Annexation, Virus, Iran and China

Wednesday, May 13, 2020

Categories: ASCF News Emerging Threats Bipartisianship

Comments: 0

With Israel preparing to annex territory in the occupied West Bank and a flurry of clashes claiming the lives of an Israeli soldier and a Palestinian teenager, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo arrived in Jerusalem on Wednesday promising to push ahead with the Trump administration’s proposal to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

“There remains work yet to do, and we need to make progress on it,” Mr. Pompeo said of the administration’s “vision for peace” at the start of a lightning-quick, eight-hour visit. It was the first official trip to Israel by any country’s diplomats since the coronavirus pandemic shunted face-to-face meetings onto videoconferences.

Mr. Pompeo, who disembarked from his jet wearing a red, white and blue mask, also addressed efforts to fight the coronavirus and to stop Iran’s nuclear project and contain its expansionist moves in the Middle East.

But in brief remarks alongside Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Mr. Pompeo, no longer wearing his mask, revealed that China, a rare sore spot between the United States and Israel, was also very much on the agenda.

“You’re a great partner,” Mr. Pompeo said to Mr. Netanyahu. “You share information, unlike some other countries that try and obfuscate and hide information. We’ll talk about that country, too.”

Mr. Pompeo and Mr. Trump have engaged in a war of words with China over its handling of the virus outbreak that first emerged in the Chinese city of Wuhan, giving credence to suggestions that the virus originated in a government laboratory, which the Chinese have vehemently denied and virologists have widely discounted.

Last week, Mr. Pompeo said China “could have prevented the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people worldwide” and “spared the world descent into global economic malaise.” He add, “China is still refusing to share the information we need to keep people safe.”

But Mr. Pompeo’s pointed reference to China in Mr. Netanyahu’s presence was not just a surprising attempt to draw Israel into a venomous dispute on the American side; it was also a thinly veiled allusion to a source of growing friction between Israel and the United States.

Israel has antagonized Washington by allowing Chinese companies to make major infrastructure investments in recent years, including in sensitive locations.

In Haifa, a company majority-owned by the Chinese government has struck a 25-year lease to run Israel’s commercial seaport beginning in 2021; it is a frequent port of call for the United States Navy’s Sixth Fleet. And in another strategic spot near Israel’s Palmachim air force base, a Hong Kong-based company, Hutchison Water International, is a finalist to build a desalination plant that Israel says will be the largest in the world. The winner of the contract is scheduled to be announced on May 24.

Trump administration officials have clamored for Israel to screen and monitor such investments by China more carefully, with the energy secretary, Dan Brouillette, warning in a visit to Israel last year that intelligence sharing between the two allies could otherwise be impaired or compromised.

Standing alongside Mr. Pompeo on Wednesday, however, Mr. Netanyahu appeared to gently but firmly push back, reminding him where much of the intelligence that the two allies share actually originates.

“The most important thing is actually generating the information and then sharing the information,” Mr. Netanyahu interrupted Mr. Pompeo to say, an unmistakable reference to the Israeli intelligence services’ track record of developing information of value to the United States.

Notably, Mr. Pompeo’s short schedule of meetings included a session with the Mossad director, Yossi Cohen.

Mr. Pompeo also met with Benny Gantz, the former army chief who fought Mr. Netanyahu to a draw in three elections over the past year and a half before agreeing to join him in an emergency unity government.

When they are sworn in on Thursday — an event that was pushed back by a day because of Mr. Pompeo’s visit — Mr. Gantz is to become defense minister but, more important, will hold the title of alternate prime minister and will have veto power over most major decisions. He will not have the ability to block an annexation move, however. Under their unusual arrangement, Mr. Gantz is to take over as prime minister in 18 months.

Mr. Pompeo also met with Gabi Ashkenazi, another former army chief and an ally of Mr. Gantz’s who is to become foreign minister in the new government.

Mr. Netanyahu’s vow to annex West Bank territory that the Palestinians have long counted on for a future state loomed largest over Mr. Pompeo’s visit.

Opponents of annexation have warned that it would kill the chance of a two-state solution to the long-running conflict and would spark violence that could quickly lead to the collapse of the Palestinian Authority, which governs the West Bank under the Oslo accords.

On Tuesday, an Israeli soldier was killed when a heavy rock thrown from a house near the northern West Bank city of Jenin struck him in the head. Even as the hunt for his killer or killers continued, a Palestinian teenager, Zaid Qaisiyya, was shot in the head and killed early Wednesday in clashes with Israeli security forces in the Fawar refugee camp near the southern West Bank city of Hebron. Four others were wounded by live fire, the official Palestinian news agency Wafa reported. The boy’s funeral drew a crowd of thousands.

The State Department has in recent weeks sought to downplay the Trump administration’s role in shaping Israel’s annexation plans. “That’s an Israeli decision,” Mr. Pompeo said in April.

But a mapping committee of American and Israeli officials — not including Palestinian leaders — is drawing the boundaries of the roughly 30 percent of West Bank territory that is expected to be annexed.

Ambassador David M. Friedman, the American envoy to Jerusalem, sits on that panel, but he skipped Wednesday’s meeting with Mr. Pompeo after experiencing “mild upper-respiratory symptoms,” though he tested negative for Covid-19, the disease caused by the virus, the United States Embassy said.

Supporters of a two-state solution have been busy both predicting and trying to ensure a painful backlash for Israel if it moves ahead with annexation. Doing so unilaterally would not only jeopardize Israel’s security pacts with Egypt and Jordan; it could also alienate some of Israel’s trading partners and potentially induce European sanctions, opponents warn.

On Friday, the European Union’s Foreign Affairs Council is expected to discuss Israel’s plans to declare sovereignty over West Bank territory and how Europe might respond. The E.U.’s foreign policy chief, Josep Borrell, last month maintained that annexation of Palestinian territories would be a “serious violation” of international law and said that European diplomats were prepared to “act accordingly.”

Still, only the United States is likely to be able to dissuade Israel, said Israela Oron, a retired Israeli general and two-state solution supporter. But she said that was unlikely, given how much President Trump depends on votes in November from American evangelists and right-wing Jewish voters, who support Israel’s takeover of the West Bank on religious grounds.

“The question is ‘How come annexation is so urgent in the middle of the corona pandemic and the economic crisis?’” Ms. Oron said in an online session with journalists held on Tuesday by the left-of-center Israel Policy Forum. “The simple answer is the upcoming election in the U.S.”

Even American lawmakers who oppose annexation indicated there was little they could do to stop it. “Many of us are urging the Israeli government, ‘Don’t do this — if you do this, we view it as nearly fatal to peace prospects,’” Senator Tim Kaine, Democrat of Virginia, said on Tuesday as Mr. Pompeo was flying to Israel.

Mr. Kaine sidestepped questions on whether a Democratic administration could roll back an Israeli annexation if Mr. Trump leaves office in January. But he suggested that at least some American aid to Israel could be cut.

“At the end of the day, Congress can’t completely be the protector of somebody that, frankly, is not willing to protect themselves,” Mr. Kaine said. He added: “I just don’t know that this idea of ‘We’ll protect you, even including against your own steps that have made you less safe.’ I don’t think that guarantee goes on forever.”

Photo: In his meeting on Wednesday in Jerusalem with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, left, of Israel, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo  said China was very much on the agenda.Credit...Kobi Gideon/Israel Government Press Office, via Getty Images

Link: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/13/world/middleeast/israel-pompeo-annexation-netanyahu.html

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