Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Poll Finds Most Americans Think China Is a Major Threat to the U.S.

Wednesday, June 3, 2020

Categories: ASCF News Emerging Threats National Preparedness

Comments: 0

Americans are increasingly of the opinion that the coronavirus pandemic will alter the global balance of power, with more now believing China is becoming a major threat to the U.S. than two years ago. That's according to analysis by the Pew Research Center.

In a series of polls, a cross-section of the U.S. population was asked questions about what they thought the world order would be after the pandemic. When asked whether they thought China's power and influence were a threat to the U.S., 62 percent of respondents answered yes, a considerable increase from the 2018 figure of 48 percent.

With China facing criticism from the administration of President Donald Trump over how it handed the novel coronavirus, exactly half (50 percent) of Americans said they believed that China's reputation and global influence will be adversely impacted by the pandemic.

Party affiliation shaped people's views of China, with Democrats (23 percent) more than twice as likely as Republicans (10 percent) to believe that China's power will increase due to the pandemic.

Meanwhile, the majority of those who back the GOP (63 percent) believe that Beijing's influence will diminish because of the pandemic, compared with 40 percent of Democrats.

About a third (31%) of Americans said that China's influence after the outbreak would remain the same compared with before it, and almost a fifth (17%) think that it will increase.

However, there has been a dip in Americans' opinions of China's military strength relative to other major military powers. Six percent of respondents now consider China as the world's top military power, down from 12 percent in 2016, although nearly a third (30 percent) believe China is the leading economic power.

Meanwhile, only 4 percent of Americans agreed that having China, instead of the U.S., as the world's leading power would be better for the world, down from 6 percent two years ago. The figures come from three surveys Pew carried out between March and May, with a margin of error of 3.6 percent.

With China so far resisting calls for an independent probe into the cause of the outbreak, Beijing's ambassador to the U.K Liu Xiaoming raised the prospect of an international review, telling Sky News that it should be "free from politicization."

The hit by the pandemic to China's diplomatic standing comes as it faces global pushback over its plans to introduce security laws in Hong Kong, as well as a growing spat with the U.S. over its sale of weapons to Taiwan.

Kishore Mahbubani, author of Has China Won? The Chinese Challenge to American Primacy, said that it would be "logical" for China and the U.S. to be working together on the coronavirus, but "sadly, U.S.-China competition has stepped up even after COVID-19".

"The United States has launched a major geopolitical contest against China without first working out a comprehensive long-term strategy. Some of the reaction the U.S. is taking against China is impulsive and emotional rather than reasonable and logical," Mahbubani told Newsweek.

"There is a very strong impulsive reaction to hit out at China whenever it can even if it does not serve America's interests to do so.

"Inevitably geopolitical tensions rise between the number two and number one power. As China gets stronger and stronger, America gets more and more uncomfortable so America will try to thwart the rise of China," said Mahbubani, a former Singaporean diplomat who was also president of the United Nations Security Council between January 2001 and May 2002.

Link: https://www.newsweek.com/china-pew-research-u-s-threat-1508329

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