Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

China’s Foreign Minister Revives Belt and Road on 5-Country Africa Tour

Thursday, January 14, 2021

Categories: ASCF News Emerging Threats National Preparedness

Comments: 0

Over the weekend, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi concluded his tour to five countries in Africa, upholding a 30-plus year tradition of China’s top diplomat starting the new year with the first international visit to the continent. The trip brought Wang to a disparate group of destinations: Nigeria, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Botswana, Tanzania, and Seychelles.

The thrust of the tour was messaging to emphasize the positive trajectory and future of ties between China and its African partners, particularly in the lead-up to the triennial Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) leaders’ summit to be held this year. Wang laid out a seven-point plan to upgrade China-Africa cooperation for 2021, bolstering health, agricultural, digital, environmental, and military and security cooperation; regional connectivity and free trade; and Africa’s industrial capacity.

Wang’s five-country tour was not wanting for deals to tout either. The DRC and Botswana became the 45th and 46th African signatories to join China’s ambitious Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). (Nigeria joined the BRI in 2019 and Seychelles in 2018.) Although the spread of the coronavirus raised questions about the future of the BRI, resistance to it and Chinese efforts to recalibrate the initiative manifested long before the pandemic.

New members signing onto BRI will likely inject some new energy into an initiative whose projects have stagnated and faced controversy, causing its overall luster to fade. The new MOUs also provided Beijing with an opportunity to signal its continued willingness to back infrastructure development across the continent.

During Wang’s time in Tanzania, the two sides announced that two Chinese firms, China Civil Engineering Construction and China Railway Construction, had won a $1.3 billion contract to construct a railway linking the Lake Victoria port city of Mwanza to Isaka, which connects to the seaport of Dar es Salaam. The news may be a boon for other infrastructure deals, especially in Tanzania, where a number of Chinese projects were scrapped over debt burden and corruption concerns.

Elsewhere, in Nigeria, Wang articulated intentions to establish an intergovernmental committee to facilitate bilateral cooperation between the two strategic partners. The visit was also likely designed to smooth ties after anti-Chinese sentiment in Nigeria grew more vocal following reports of Africans being targeted for COVID-19 testing and forced quarantines in Guangzhou.

Later this month, the Lagos-Ibadan railway is set to launch, a train route connecting the country’s economic hub to the most populous city of Oyo state. The project received sizable Chinese financing and China Civil Engineering Construction Cooperation was the contractor. Following Wang’s visit Nigeria’s transportation minister said it was waiting on Chinese approval for a new $5.3 billion loan to construct the Ibadan-Kano railway.

In Kinshasa, Wang announced the cancellation of $28 million of the DRC’s interest-free loans. African countries’ debt levels, to China and otherwise, became a major point of concern amid the financial turmoil caused by COVID-19. While Beijing has written off debt to other African borrowers, concerns are likely to remain over the transparency and conditions of Chinese loans. Wang also said Beijing would give $17 million to the DRC, $15 million of which will be dedicated to development projects and another $2 million to support Kinshasa’s role as head of the African Union in the next financial year.ADVERTISEMENT

Wang’s final stop to Seychelles came as the two countries are set to celebrate 45 years of diplomatic ties. The two sides voiced a willingness to enhance their cooperation including in environmental protection, blue economy tourism, and clean energy.

Wang’s visit also coincided with the long anticipated publication of a white paper from the State Council Information Office on China’s international development cooperation. Over a five year period from 2013 to 2018, China extended assistance to 53 countries in Africa – its top destination – accounting for nearly 45 percent of total foreign aid.

And while Wang framed the growth of African membership in the Belt and Road Initiative as demonstrative of China’s role in “steering a new era of globalization,” he also stated that supporting development on the continent was a shared responsibility. “It is a firm belief of China that Africa is not an arena for superpower games but a major stage for international cooperation,” Wang said.

“In pure propaganda terms, Wang’s Africa Tour 2021 was a huge success. But don’t be fooled by those sparkling headlines,” writes The China-Africa Project’s Eric Olander. “Even though Wang didn’t talk in any substantive way about Chinese debt restructuring, over-fishing, the status of race relations in Guangzhou, or any of the other important, yet highly contentious issues in the China-Africa relationship doesn’t mean they’ve gone away,” he added.

Still, 2021 will prove to be an important year for China-Africa relations as Senegal prepares to host this year’s FOCAC summit. Moreover, Chinese vaccine distribution efforts will also be active in Africa in the coming months. Seychelles, an Indian Ocean archipelago, started inoculating its population with 50,000 doses of the China-developed Sinopharm COVID-19 vaccine, which it received as a donation from the United Arab Emirates. India also offered 100,000 doses of the Oxford AstraZeneca vaccine to the country, set to arrive by late January.

As many countries seek access to COVID-19 vaccines to stabilize and recover after the challenges of the pandemic, some have characterized China’s vaccine diplomacy as “high-risk, high reward.” “If SinoPharm’s vaccine restores a sense of normalcy to life across Africa, China will be praised. However, if the vaccine proves ineffective or creates unforeseen health effects, China’s carefully crafted image — one based on ideals of credibility and philanthropy — could be undermined,” writes Neil Edwards, an open source African media analyst at Novetta.

Photo: Chinese Foreign Minister, Wang Yi, left, and Tanzania’s then-Foreign Minister Dr. Augustine Mahiga attend a press conference in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, Monday Jan. 9, 2017.Credit: AP Photo/Khalfan Said

Chinese Foreign Minister, Wang Yi, left, and Tanzania’s then-Foreign Minister Dr. Augustine Mahiga attend a press conference in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, Monday Jan. 9, 2017.Credit: AP Photo/Khalfan Said

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